Romney Beats Obama in New Poll

Photo: PatDollard

By TAL KOPAN | 11/19/13 6:53 AM EST -  POLITICO: As more bad poll numbers continue to pour in for President Barack Obama, a new survey finds that if the 2012 election matchup were held this month, Mitt Romney would hold the edge with the voters.

Romney topped Obama 49 percent to 45 percent among registered voters in the Washington Post-ABC News poll released Tuesday. Among all Americans, the 2012 rivals would be tied, at 47 percent.

Obama beat Romney 51 percent to 47 percent a year ago to win a second term.

The poll also found more bad news for Obama: His approval was down to 42 percent, a fall of 6 points from a month ago. Fifty-five percent disapproved of the job he is doing as president.

Support for the president’s signature health care law was also down 6 points since late October, standing at 40 percent. Fifty-seven percent said they oppose the law. Similarly, approval of Obama’s handling of Obamacare was also underwater, with 33 percent approving to 67 percent disapproving.

The Post surveyed 1,006 adults from Nov. 14 to 17 for the poll, which has an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The most frustrating part is that we now know that Romney was right about Benghazi, that the unemployment numbers (Jobs) Report released right before the 2012 Election was faked plus Romney knows economics and business; expertise we desperately need..  Add to that the vast amount of reported voter fraud and voter intimidation, in both the 2008 and 2012 Presidential elections and every American should feel cheated.

In an interview with Chris Wallace last March, Romney said it is killing him not to be president.

Video: Mitt Romney To Fox: 'It Kills Me' To Not Be President

Related:

How Democrats Plan On Stealing The Presidency In 2016

Flash Poll Immediately After First Presidential Debate Found Romney the Big Winner, Independents Turn on Obama

Video: First Presidential Debate: Obama vs. Romney (Complete HD - Quality Audio)

A Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage Flash Poll conducted immediately after Wednesday's presidential debate finds that Mitt Romney won by a significant margin.

Asked who won the debate, 52 percent of respondents said Romney did, with 45 percent for Obama. Undecided/neither was 3 percent.

Pollster Matt Towery says "the results largely followed party lines, but independents broke in favor of Romney, moving the dial in his favor."

The poll sampled 373 likely voters nationwide, with a margin of error of 5 points.

CNN flash poll:  67% said Romney won, only 27 % said Obama won with 3% not sure.

Looks like they are leaning right… after Wednesday night

Anatomy Of An Ass Kicking

TPN: First things first, I usually only release these guys for electoral victories, but what the hey. Last night's Romney victory was so overwhelming, (and Obama's performance was likewise so underwhelming,) that I believe it is fitting to let fly the Baby Elephants.

I have two clips here for comparison on the analysis of last night's events. The first is from Michelle Malkin, who managed to catch some of the things that I missed in my euphoria last night. Suffice it to say that Willard Romney exceeded even the lofty expectations that came with Chris Christie's confident tossing of the proverbial gauntlet. What Mitt Romney did specifically was to take every single ridiculous canard ever uttered as a lefty talking point over the past three decades and use fact, reason, and plain English to use that canard as a weapon with which to bitch slap President Zero. Had John McCain showed half this amount of fight four years ago, he would be President today, defending himself against Hillary Clinton. How bad was the beat down? At one point during the evening's festivities, Little Barry pleaded with Jim Lehrer to change topics, the debate equivalent to declaring a TKO.

And now for something completely different, and by different I mean watching Chrissy Mathews come completely unglued in his, "objectivity," while describing his take on how the debate went. (I guess he didn't have that thrill going up his leg last night.) I will at this point in time point out that Jim Lehrer gave me an unexpected pleasant surprise with how he handled his moderating duties last night. The debate was not at all about Lehrer being the star, or about how slantingly he could phrase his questions. He merely stated a topic, gave it a gentle nudge to get the juices flowing, and then removed himself from the conversation. That was the first time in my memory watching the two candidates primarily having a substantive discussion on values, beliefs, philosophies, agendas, and policy positions in which they were able to speak to the issues and differences in any sort of a meaningful way. It was truly an argument in the arena of ideas. So how did Chrissy see it all?

When I was in High School, much longer ago than I certainly like to admit, my girlfriend was on the school's debate team. I went to one of her events, and two things immediately struck me. One, She was really quite a lot smarter than I was, and two, the rules of the debate seemed rather odd. Each team was given a week to prepare for the upcoming debate, but rather than assign differing sides to an issue, each team was allowed to choose which side they would take. They had to prepare rebuttals to both sides, not knowing which side the other team would take. I found it amusing that every team at almost every debate chose the same side to argue.

There are many people on the left and right who felt Barack Obama came in woefully under prepared for last night's debate. While that may be true, it is also true that Barack Obama is in the position of having to defend the worst Administration in America's 236 year history. He has no such choice as to which position of this debate he would like to argue. When you take away the smoke and mirrors, the spin, the lap dog media, and his stellar ability to read a speech from a teleprompter, this election, and mostly these debates will be about whether we should award another four years of America's future to Barack Obama.

In his first statement, Barack Obama told us that this election should not be about the past, but about the future. Them's not exactly fighting words, them's hiding words. In a nut shell, President Obama is walking a tightrope here. On the one hand he's happy to have the natural advantage of incumbency on his side in the upcoming election, and on the other hand, he would rather voters really not think too long or hard as to what kind of a job he's done during the previous four years. There's already been a lot of hand wringing on the left about why oh why Barack Obama did not bring up this point or that point, mostly pieces of the aforementioned ridiculousness concerning the supposed 47% gaffe, Bain Capital, war on women, etc. There is a reason for that. President Obama started trotting out the talking points early and often in the first ten minutes of the evening. He got what he thought were his best kill shots fired back at him in a manner that left visible marks on his person and psyche. After 20 minutes of that, five of his best punches having left its indelible mark on his squarely paddled backside, the rest of the evening became about Barack Obama's attempt to run out the clock and put an end to the misery of the left. Barack Obama's speech became noticeably slow, pretty much the same cadence one might find in the local police department drunk tank. He spoke long and slowly, and avoided anything even resembling a point, lest it be rolled up in stone and fired back at him as another candidacy ending salvo.

Mitt Romney on the other hand had another challenge. The Obama campaign has spent Hundreds of Millions of dollars in an effort to portray Mitt Romney as evil to his core, a man we should expect to see entering the debate sporting horns on his head and with a barbed tail protruding from under his suit coat. The only thing Romney needed to do in order to win was to walk out on stage without a red pitch fork and not eat a baby in some sort of ritualistic sacrifice. As no babies died in Denver last night, and Mitt Romney did not have any props which could be mistaken for a red pitchfork, everything else that happened was gravy. There was oh so much gravy. My personal favorite moment of the night was early on when Barack brought up my pet peeve of Democrat canards, those supposed oil subsidies, which as a matter of fact are nothing more than straight line expense deductions any business takes while preparing their income tax returns. (The oil industry happens to be the second most heavily taxed industry in our nation, with Tobacco being number one.) Mitt politely pointed out that in one year, Green Subsidies are 50 times greater than even the fictitious Oil Subsidies, and for a far smaller benefit I might add.

In the end it was nothing more than one small night which signaled that the race is not over yet. Mitt Romney is still in this race, and is probably ahead if looked at honestly. Special note to the Romney team, Barack Obama is not going to take this lying down. In the game of, "is the Republican Stupid, Senile, of Evil," there is only one choice that fits Mitt Romney. Expect the attacks to be stepped up immediately, and expect the next debate performance made by our President to look different. The good news is that the next one of these will be on foreign policy, just at a time when Obama's endeavors in that area have 25% of America's embassies set ablaze. It should be fun.

Cross Posted from Musings of a Mad Conservative.

Technorati Tags: 2012 Election,debates,Election 2012,Independents,Mitt Romney,Mitt Romney in 2012,polls,Romney wins,Romney-Ryan,TKO,undecideds,VOTERS

Lighten Up Eeyore, The Pollsters Don't Even Agree With Each Other

TPN: Sadly, this obsession over what has to be the most misunderstood science in all of American life has become a ritual, with a life all its own. So, now the depression is full bore, and even people on the Republican side are beginning to show signs of depression, despite all of our solid promises to ourselves and each other that this year, we would not fall for this lunacy, no matter what. If you really believe that the worst President in our Nation's history, the man who's policy of appeasement has seen a quarter of our embassies around the world set ablaze, the man who's domestic policies have shut down all domestic energy production on federal lands, the man who's economic policies have made him the first President since Herbert Hoover to see less Americans working after a full term in office than on the day he was sworn into office, will win the election by 8 to 10 points, then I happen to be in possession of the Brooklyn Bridge, and would be willing to sell.

What is most perplexing to me about the devotion to the polls is this. If the polls were at all accurate, they would be very close to delivering us the same numbers. If that were the case, nobody would be logging onto the Real Clear Politics website in order to see what the daily average of all the polls had to say about the daily average of all polls where every poll should be mirroring the daily average.

Consider this also, after every election cycle, all of the polls are ranked in accuracy, and surprisingly, none of the polls being quoted anywhere by anyone are ever close to the top of that list. Rasmussen and Zogby will typically rank 1 and 2, and neither will be discussed on the evening news. We'll discuss both of these companies later, and why they get closer than the other more famous members of the polling community.

What is a better predictor of election results is history, and in that spirit, Dick Morris has an analysis that is probably much more predictive than anything you'll see in the polls. In his article, Dick Morris combines an historical perspective with the polling results to give us what I believe to be one of the best predictive analyses available

So here’s where the race really stands today based on Rasmussen’s polling:

• Romney leads decisively in all states McCain carried (173 electoral votes).
• Romney is more than ten points ahead in Indiana – which Obama carried. (11 electoral votes)
• Romney leads Obama in the following states the president carried in 2008: Iowa (44-47) North Carolina (45-51), Colorado (45-47), and New Hampshire (45-48).

He’ll probably win them all. (34 electoral votes).

This comes to 218 of the 270 Romney needs. But…

• Obama is below 50% of the vote in a handful of key swing states and leads Romney by razor thin margins in each one. All these states will go for Romney unless and until Obama can show polling support of 50% of the vote:
• Obama leads in Ohio (47-46) and Virginia (49-48) by only 1 point (31 electoral votes)
• Obama leads in Florida (48-46) and Nevada (47-45) by only 2 points (35 electoral votes)
If Romney carries Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, he wins. And other states are in play.
• Obama leads in Wisconsin (49-46) by only 3 points (10 electoral votes)
• Obama’s lead in Michigan is down to four points according to a recent statewide poll
• Obama is only getting 51% of the vote in Pennsylvania and 53% in New Jersey. And don’t count out New Mexico.
It would be accurate to describe the race now as tied. But Romney has the edge because:
• The incumbent is under 50% in key states and nationally. He will probably lose any state where he is below 50% of the vote.
• The Republican enthusiasm and likelihood of voting is higher
• The GOP field organization is better.
That’s the real state of play today.

When a pollster conducts his interviews, he does not contact only the number of people reported in the headline. They will usually contact 3 to 4 times that number of people. You will also not see the actual breakdown of how people responded in the headline. What you see, his finished product, will be a weighted average based on what the pollster feels will be the demographic distribution of who will ultimately vote, in other words, his guess.

Typically, when interviews are conducted, a voting model of demographic distribution exists before hand. A certain percentage of women, men, breakdowns by age, race, religion, party affiliation, etc. Then percentages of how each demographic would vote is the information gleaned from the polling interviews. For instance, pretty much all of the pollsters agree today that Barack Obama would win 85% of the democrats who voted, and Mitt Romney would likely garner 86% of the Republicans who voted. What is in dispute is how the voting demographic will break down. How many 18 to 21 year old kids this time? Four years ago, that demographic turned out huge for Barack Obama, now that 50% of them have remained unemployed for the entirety of Barack Obama's term in office, and they are 4 years older, will they turn out in the same force? Will today's crop of 18 to 21 year old voters vote in similar fashion as their counterparts from 4 years ago? Typically, this demographic has an abhorrent track record when it comes to voting.
What you have at the end of the day is this. Polls are only going to be as accurate as their predictions as to what the demographic make up of the actual voting sample turns out to be. What PPP, Marist, Quinipiac, USA Today, are telling us with their samples is that the voting make up this year will look exactly as the make up looked in 2008. In 2008, Goerge W. Bush was despised almost universally, albeit unjustly, and the Democrats in our country were hyped up as never before for their man Barack Obama. He was viewed as somewhat of a messianic figure during the height of the hopety change fervor that had gripped the nation's dopes. My fellow citizens were chanting, in a scene that came straight out of 1930's Germany. What these polls are telling us, is that America is still in that mood today.

Think about this for one moment. Compare the size of the crowds traveling to see Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. Consider the difference in size of the Tea Party crowds to the faked inhabited tents of the Occupests. Twice since the convention, and once during it, Barack Obama was forced to change venues to something smaller due to a lack of attendance.

Pollster Scott Rasmussen has the best solution to the party id problem. He weights his polls to reflect the unweighted party identification of the previous three weeks, so he has a dynamic model which adjusts for sampling error but still takes account of gradual changes in the electorate’s partisan preferences.

First off, Rasmussen asks the question up front, do you plan on voting. This alone gives his poll an accuracy that the others lack. Registered voter polls include a bias towards the demographics who typically do not vote. Next, Rasmussen uses a different interview process to gain some understanding of what this year's model will actually resemble, without relying on data from 4 years ago. One of the things Rasmussen has found, through polling independent of the question of who will we be voting for, is that people who self identify as Republican is at an all time high. People who self identify as Democrat is at a near historic low. This does not exactly lead one to the conclusion that 2008's record turnout of every Democrat demographic feels that same enthusiasm today, and indeed feels it to an even greater degree.

In the case of Zogby this year, kudos for changing methodology to reflect changes in the level of technology available to citizens. My fear is that he does not yet have a handle of how to accurately utilize his new methodology. Zogby has been extremely quiet this election cycle, and now we all know why. Rather than conducting phone interviews, John Zogby and his company conducted on line interviews. I have seen far too many of these types of polls skewed purposefully, not by the polling companies, but by spammers with an agenda finding holes in the programming sufficient to deliver a result desired. the perfect examples of this were highlighted in 2008, when any online poll of the Republican Primary race showed Ron Paul with support ranging from 70% to 80% of any sample, while he consistently garnered only 2% of the actual vote. I am not saying that Zogby has not found a way to combat this, but his only poll to date this year seems to be somewhat of an outlier, even when compared to the others. I wish John Zogby the best in getting a handle on his new methodology, if successful, it should be a quantum leap in the art.

At this point during the election of 1980, Jimmy Carter supposedly had an 8 point lead over Ronald Reagan. I realize that Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan, but neither is Barack Obama a Jimmy Carter. I am not one of those people who will jump up and down to swear that this is some nefarious plot on the part of all things liberal. I just believe the pollsters to be dead wrong, and that would not make the first time either. In 2004, NBC announced at about noon on election day that our 44th President would be John Kerry, based on their exit polls, which had the benefit of an accurate voting sample.

Cross Posted from Musings of a Mad Conservative.

Related:

The Reality of 2012 Voter Turnout: The White Voter

Romney Double Digit Lead?

‘Unskewed’ polls show nearly 8-point Romney lead

Race beginning to look a lot like 1980? What might Ronald Reagan’s victory path mean?

Calling All Concerned Americans to Stand-Up

Does Obama expect to lose? – Secret retirement plans

A Must Watch Before Voting…

Must Reads Before Election 2012

Technorati Tags: polls,pollsters,Dick Morris,Election 2012,2012 Election,Mitt Romney in 2012,Romney-Ryan,smoke and mirrors,Obamaland,politics,tea party,Rasmussen Poll,Zogby Poll,skewed polls,unskewed polls,weighted polls

The Reality of 2012 Voter Turnout: The White Voter

Battleground Watch:

The largest divergence among conservative and liberal polling critics this election is the debate over who will actually show up at the voting booth this November. Differences between the amounts of Democrats versus Republicans included in the poll are frequent. But embedded in each of these assumptions are questions on the racial make-up and how that varies from election to election. Democrats consistently talk about the “coalition of the ascendant” where the fastest growing segments of the population are minorities. As such they make up an ever-increasing segment of the voting population but also vote overwhelmingly in favor of Democrats. With a shrinking white population and a growing minority population Democrats argue demography as destiny and count on political majorities for the coming generation. That may be true if everything in life moves in a straight line (it doesn’t) but is that true today?

This is the bone of contention between the competing Presidential campaigns and critics of today’s polls. Democrats want to argue the steep increase in minority percentage of the voting electorate from 2008 election was a fundamental shift in the electorate whereas Republicans want to argue the steep increases were a one-off bounce. Both agree on the general direction of the trend. Neither agree how severe that trend will be in 2012. This disagreement is the basis for Democrat over-confidence and lopsided polling today in an election where the two candidates are most likely within 1-2% of one another.

What’s missing in all this analysis is who did not show up in the 2008 election: White voters. Looking back at those results, every voter turnout rate by race (relative to eligible population) was up versus 2004 except the white vote according to Pew Research (April 30, 2009). Blacks were up +4.9%, Hispanics were up +2.7%, Asians were up +2.4%. But the percentage of White voters who showed up at the polls relative to who was eligible dropped -1.1% (Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, May 2010). This has nothing to do with minorities making up more or less of the electorate. This is simply saying from 2004 to 2008 White voter registration (which actually dropped 104k) and actual turnout of White voters (which increased 500k) did not keep up with voting age White population increases.

Within this drop of White voter turnout, over 3x as many men as women comprised those voters staying home in the election. This happened for any number of reasons ranging from a disinterested national party to a disorganized Presidential campaign to a demoralized voting block–all are true. But the bottom line is one of the advantages Barack Obama enjoyed in 2008 was that a meaningful percentage of white voters simply stayed home in 2008. Side note: for anyone who wants to pin the depressed turnout on racism, wouldn’t the opposite have occurred in 2008 if racism really were a motivating factor in the white turnout?

Where this trips up the Obama campaign.

In 2008 Democrats achieved incredible levels of voter registration and turnout of this “coalition of the ascendent” such that Blacks, Hispanics and Asians made up 24% of the voting electorate — all historic highs. Bolstering the appearance of Democrat advantage are countless media stories reporting on Mitt Romney’s struggle appealing to minority groups. Little attention is paid to Barack Obama’s (and Democrat candidates before him) difficulty appealing to White voters who made up 74% of the electorate. Such historic minority levels for the composition of the electorate are predicated on a demoralized and ineligible (meaning unregistered) white population much like in 2008, as demonstrated above.

If John McCain achieved a white voter turnout rate equal to George Bush in 2004, that would have meant 1.7 million more White votes. While all of these votes would not have gone to McCain (nor were they all in battleground states), a super-majority of these voters likely would have voted Republican considering the make-up of the missing voter (white male — Obama’s worst demographic) and the motivated nature of the Obama voter in 2008 (i.e. if they were Obama supporters, only a scant few percent would have stayed home). Those missing votes would have been more than enough to flip the results in any of North Carolina (14k), Indiana (28.5k,), Nevada (121k), Iowa (146k), Colorado (195k), Virginia (234k), Florida (237k) or Ohio (260k) where Obama’s victory margin (in parentheses) is based on a 43% vote share of a decreased turnout.

Today Barack Obama receives approximately 40% of the White vote in polls but often dips below this level especially when polls fail to massively over-sample Democrats. The President is also facing an increasingly enthusiastic bloc of White voters motivated to vote against him (this shows up in every survey) based on his poor record in office. Additionally, Republicans have aggressively targeted the above mentioned states with voter registration efforts reversing or seriously muting the registration advantage Obama enjoyed in 2008. Net gains for Republicans voter registrations in Nevada (53k), Iowa (140k), Colorado (91k) and Florida (240k) all speak to a very different and Republican electorate in those states. On top of registration, voter contacts from the Romney campaign surpassed 26 million eligible voters across the battleground states to date. This is as much as 10-15x as much as the McCain 2008 campaign. This does not dismiss the aggressive and active Obama re-election effort but it simply points out that compared to 2008 he is no longer battling an unarmed opponent.

All of this is to say when David Axelrod or similar Obama campaign talking heads argue aggressively for polls with a racial composition at meaningfully greater minority levels than the 2008 historic turnout, there is another side of that coin and it works heavily against the turnout models of both the Obama campaign and of the vast majority of polls being published today.

Want things to change? Help educate people and help get out the conservative, independent, evangelical and white vote!! Many are not registered.

Related:

Romney Double Digit Lead? 

‘Unskewed’ polls show nearly 8-point Romney lead

Race beginning to look a lot like 1980? What might Ronald Reagan’s victory path mean?

Calling All Concerned Americans to Stand-Up

Does Obama expect to lose? – Secret retirement plans

A Must Watch Before Voting…

Must Reads Before Election 2012

Technorati Tags: whites,polls,white voters,voter registration,voter turnout,voter fraud,Election 2012,2012 Election,Mitt Romney in 2012,Romney-Ryan,conservatives,independents undecideds,evangelicals,Christians,educate yourself,get involved,Caucasians

Calling All Concerned Americans to Stand-Up

“The United States was the freest country in the world, allowing freedom of all speech including the discussion of politics and religion at any level; pre-Progressive era.  Yet Americans have allowed themselves to become one of the most politically correct societies in which people generally discuss less about religion or politics than most around the world…”

It is time for everyone who is concerned about America’s future and the future of their children and grandchildren to come together to work and pray.  We have approximately 40-days to decide the future…

November 6, 2012, although in some areas the voting will begin before the 1st presidential debate even takes place… go figure, is the most important election of our life time(s) because it will determine the future path of our nation for everyone who lives in America; actually in the world because of the difference our ‘the choice’ will make globally.

Even if you are not normally one to get involved politically or to speak out… this is the time!

We must counter the corrupt media, help educate people around us, help get out the vote and protect the integrity of the voting process as well as the vote counting process.  And it will take every informed American to get engaged to get this done fairly and honestly.

The tools are out there.  The information is available.  And Romney can win. He actually is winning in the honest polls.  But Team Obama and the liberal media will do whatever they possibly can to make Americans believe that President Obama is in the lead and will win, so that Republicans might skip going to the voting booth.  Team Obama and their media minions will also keep up their misinformation campaign that Mitt Romney is inept by focusing on and exaggerating every tiny misstep by either Paul Ryan or Mitt Romney (and in many cases down right lying), while not reporting, misreporting or spinning anything potentially damaging to President Obama or VP Joe Biden, as they since Obama announced his candidacy for the 2008 race, throughout his presidency and throughout the present race.

Many Americans of all stripes are finally waking up to the smoke and mirrors concerning Obama’s past, the figures and spin on the economy as well as the administrations ineptness in foreign policy.  Even if you like President Obama as a person, or are a life-time Democrat, the truth is just becoming overwhelming for many a diehard and even those who do not pay regular attention to the news and politics… but not to all.  And then there is the focused campaign to commit voter fraud, from throwing out voter ID laws, to allowing intimidation at the polls, to pre-set and slanted voting machines, to unchecked voter registration of dead people, dead animals, cartoon characters or multiple registrations of the same person.  Plus we have the added problem of using a company located in Spain to count many of our votes. 

And that is where we all come in.

Choose a person or group of people to share information with:

Are your children, nieces or nephews, grandkids, etc. planning to vote according to what their professors or friends are telling them, yet they have no real knowledge of the issues, the candidates or history?  Or do you have friends who are voting Democrat because they always have?  Or do you live near a senior center where someone has falsely convinced them that if they vote for Romney-Ryan they will lose their Medicare, have their Social Security reduced or even worse.

1. Educate yourself
2. Offer to teach a class or question answer forum at your community center, library or a nearby senior center and invite a speaker, co-host, or speak yourself
3. Start conversations with your friends and family about what you have learned and found out.
4. Start a blog and share your articles online and with friends and family.
5. Use the tools available.  Take someone who is a-political, undecided or uninformed to see: ‘2016: the Movie’, ‘Unvetted’, ‘Last Ounce of Courage’ or to a rally or fundraiser, etc.
6. Volunteer for a campaign
7. Donate money and time to campaigns who need help
8. Volunteer to work at the polls
9. Join an action committee to make sure the votes are counted correctly
10. Email people worthwhile information, including about election and candidate specials.
11. Stand up for any and all injustices in the voting process and insist they be corrected… before allowing any candidate to be seated, from the President on down.

Future generations will thank you!

We are being had by the mainstream (lamestream) media and by the polls; something that became even more evident over the past couple weeks since the terror attack in Benghazi on 9/11 and the outbreak of violence in the Middle East and across the world.  It highlighted the failure of this administration’s foreign policy decisions, the lack of truthfulness by Team Obama and the media, and the collusion between the two.  Plus the past couple of weeks have also shown us a worsening economic picture.

Then add to that the skewing of the polls:

Many of the polls have been skewed anywhere by 3 to 13 points in favor or Obama… why?  Because they are hoping that conservatives and Independents will give up, won’t go to the polls or will vote for the anticipated winner.  Show them they are wrong!!

Examiner: According to the state polls on August 25, 2012 Mitt Romney would have won the presidential race over Barack Obama if the nation voted that day. Likewise, Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking polls showed the race statistically tied nationally with President Obama at 46 percent to Mitt Romney polling at 45 percent.

The map above showed little change since the last GOP2112 analysis of the race on August 15, 2012 which showed Romney leading with 359 electoral votes. The recent polling available for most of the states causes no changes in projections of those states with just a few exceptions. While the president has gained no states from the last analysis to this one showed by the map above, the states of Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Mexico and Oregon have moved from leaning to Romney to toss-up status. Real Clear Politics (RCP) has all four of these states listed as leaning to Obama. But the weakness of the RCP averages is including a number of polls, by mainstream media outlets that are clearly skewed to favor Democrats, that result in skewing their averages the same way. Absent the skewed polls, the few remaining accurate polls show these states too close to call.

What is important to note, at this juncture, is these states are all states won by Barack Obama in 2008 and are key battlegrounds this year. The fact that states won easily by Obama four years ago are now toss-up states show the campaign this year is being fought on ground that was favorable to the president in 2008. This illustrates a degree of strength for the Romney campaign and a key sign of weakness for Obama's campaign. Yet the bias liberal media keeps reporting that Obama is leading in the skewed national polls by anywhere between a few points up to 13-points.

And earlier today… 09.24.12 it was reported that  nine new state polls were released showing 10-states that moved toward Obama and putting Ohio in the win category… even on Fox  Yet still others, like former Clinton advisor Dick Morris, believe that Romney has a double digit lead and will win with a double digit lead.  Dick Morris outlines Why The Polls Under State Romney Vote.

The war of the polls gets a little wearisome for non-wonks, but we’ll keep this short and sweet. The mainstream media are rigging the polls. No headliner there, but just how bad is it? It could mean that Romney has as much as a double-digit lead of 54-44 in Realityville. How, you ask? Because the Democrats are fooling themselves in terms of likely voter party identification and voter enthusiasm.

And then later today… 'Unskewed' polls show nearly 8-point Romney lead

Republicans have complained that the establishment media’s voter-turnout models can serve a partisan purpose by presenting margins that keep discouraged Republican voters at home thinking the election is already lost.

Race beginning to look a lot like 1980? What might Ronald Reagan’s victory path mean?

Source: http://unskewedpolls.com/ LV = Likely Voters, RV=Registered Voters, MoE=Margin of Error

But the war for America needs to be at the forefront for all concerned Americans for the next 40-days… no matter what the polls show!

The Founding Fathers warned us that the only way we could keep our republic was to remain engaged and to do that they knew that the citizenry must be educated and must demand a free and truthful media.  We have fallen down on all three and the Obama presidency is the result of that failure.

And why are the Clintons filling in for President Obama at meetings with worldwide leaders at the UN? While Obama went on the view?  Gov. Romney is also meeting with world leaders while Obama has decided to stay out of the “political” fray during his campaign? Hello?  Yet CNN, whose coverage is so skewed that after hiding their knowledge of the Libyan Ambassadors’ Diary, will be pulled from Israeli TV by the end of the year, swooned… saying they could not wait to hear what Obama had to say before the General Assembly Meeting, even though he wouldn’t meet with Prime Minister Netanyahu or any other world leaders around his speech.

Or, Does Obama expect to lose? – See Secret retirement plans, based on internal polling, so Bill and Hillary are taking the opportunity to promote a Hillary run in 2016, even though her chances are much diminished by the evidence that it was Hillary who did not send in Marines to protect our people in Benghazi? Perhaps they are hoping to hide behind the body of lies from Benghazi that lead to Obama and his administration in general?  Good luck!

This could be one of the closest races and elections in U.S. History… and the final count will probably go waaay into the night of November 6th or even the early morning of November 7th.

What will you tell your kids and grandkids about what you were doing while America was dying if you do not stand up?  All the knowledge in the world is useless if you do not share it!!

“No people is wholly civilized where a distinction is drawn between stealing an office and stealing a purse.” …Theodore Roosevelt

Related:

Easy Things You Can Do to Prevent Voter Fraud

The war of the polls gets a little wearisome for non-wonks, but we’ll keep this short and sweet. The mainstream media are rigging the polls. No headliner there, but just how bad is it? It could mean that Romney has as much as a double-digit lead of 54-44 in Realityville. How, you ask? Because the Democrats are fooling themselves in terms of likely voter party identification and voter enthusiasm.

Technorati Tags: stealing elections,saving America,vote,wake-up America,time to stand-up America,educate yourself,educate yourself and others,help get out the vote,Election 2012,2012 Election,the Choice,Fire Obama - Hire Romney,Romney-Ryan,fight for America,Mitt Romney in 2012,businessman vs community organizer,I'll take the Mormon over the Moron,Theodore Roosevelt,polls,get involved

IN BED WITH OBAMA: CNN Uses Heavily Weighted Polling Sample to Pretend Obama is Leading

Romney Central:

A new poll out from CNN shows Romney losing to Obama overall by 6 percentage points. That result would be fine and dandy if the breakdown of the polling sample showed an equal part of Democrats and Republicans with any number of Independents. Curiously, CNN hasn't released a breakdown of the sample they polled.

The real eye-opener here is this: although the poll shows Romney down by 6 overall, it also shows him leading among independents by a whopping 14%. Only in skewed polling results can a candidate be crushing his opponent among indies but lose overall.

Christian Heinze of GOP2012 was the first to report on the discrepancy:

But here's a very curious internal.

Romney leads among independents, 54%-40%. That's a blowout number. Both candidates get 96%-97% of their respective parties, so this means that this sample must have leaned Democratic big-time.

And of course, CNN didn't release the sampling breakdown.

There's no doubt Obama got a convention bounce, but the independent number indicates a pretty severe oversample among Democrats in this poll.

Technorati Tags: polls,dirty politics,wake-up Republicans,Romney-Ryan 2012,Obamaland,bias liberal media,MSM,CNN

Morris: Romney To Win Undecideds

By DICK MORRIS  -  Published on TheHill.com on May 15, 2012

From May 5-11, 2012, I conducted a survey of 6,000 likely voters. On such a mammoth sample, the margin of error is less than 1 percent. I found that Romney has amassed a sizable lead over Obama of 51-42, far in excess of what published polling and surveys of registered -- as opposed to likely -- voters are indicating.

If Romney were to win 51 percent of the vote, the election would, of course, be very close. But if he could hold Obama to 42 percent, it would be a landslide. So the obvious question is how Romney should go about winning the voters in between.

To answer this question, I drilled down in my sample to these undecided voters, none of whom voted for Romney in the survey. I added to their ranks those who voted for Obama but indicated that they only "somewhat" approved of his performance in office. This left me with a sample of 1,500 likely voters who are in play. The data in this column reflects their views. If Romney can win a quarter or a third of their votes, he will win by a landslide margin of 10 points.

On the economy, 46 percent of these swing voters do not believe that there is any recovery. Twenty-three percent say the economy is the same as when Obama took office and an additional 23 percent say it is worse. Thirty-nine percent say the jobs situation has not improved. Twenty-five percent say it is the same and 14 percent say it is worse. And 37 percent agree with the statement that "if we look around, there isn't real evidence that we are actually making progress."

Specifically, swing voters do not believe that the unemployment rate drop Obama heralds is real. Forty-nine percent agree that "the only reason it goes down is that each month more people give up even looking for work."

So Obama's claims that we are climbing out of the recession fall short with almost half of the swing vote. Indeed, 31 percent of swing voters say that "Obama's policies have made the recession worse."

About a third of swing voters squarely blame Obama's borrowing and spending as the culprit for the failure of the economy. Thirty-six percent agree that "the deficit and debt Obama's program caused did more harm that the spending did good. His cure was worse than the disease."

Forty-four percent of swing voters believe that "if we cut government spending and borrowing, we could recover much more quickly."

A third of swing voters -- 31 percent -- reject the president's argument that "if it were not for Obama's policies, things might have been even worse."

Finally, 44 percent of swing voters agree that "if we reelect Obama, he'll just do more of the same."

Romney has the ability to slice off a third of the undecided swing voters by way of a major attack on the economy, thereby lifting him well above the 50 percent threshold. Swing voters:

• Challenge Obama's assertion that we are recovering and that unemployment is dropping.
• Lay the blame for the economic stagnation on his "spending and borrowing" and suggest that with less of each, things would improve much more quickly.
• Believe that "his cure is worse than the disease" in that "the borrowing has done more harm than the spending did good."
• Are convinced that if we reelect Obama, we have only more spending and borrowing to look forward to and that the results will be the same.

Will Romney exploit the vulnerabilities this poll suggests? Only time will tell.

"It's a Chain of Lie After Lie After Lie"
What if the financial crisis wasn't an accident? That experts have PROOF regarding an elaborate scheme dating back to Sept. 18, 2008?… Dick Morris

Morris, a former adviser to Senator Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Clinton, is the author of Outrage, Fleeced, Catastrophe and 2010: Take Back America — A Battle Plan.  Revolt!: How To Defeat Obama and Repeal His Socialist Programs — A Patriot’s Guide and his latest book:  Screwed!: How Foreign Countries Are Ripping America Off and Plundering Our Economy-and How Our Leaders Help Them Do It  See: dickmorris.com.

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Technorati Tags: Dick Morris,Election 2012,2012 Election,Mitt Romney 2012,Mitt Romney,elections,undecideds,polls

BILL CLINTON: ‘I LIKE HUNTSMAN AND ROMNEY’… and BACHMAN

Former President Bill Clinton says that as far as Republicans go he likes GOP 2012 hopefuls Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney.   Clinton made his comments on the presidential field at the Aspen Ideas Festival Saturday evening. While Clinton still thinks President Obama will win reelection in 2012, he commented that the former Massachusetts governor is fronting a much stronger campaign than he did in 2008, and Michele Bachmann is looking like “a better candidate” than he thought. Clinton remarked:

“But, y’know, I like the governors: I like Huntsman and Romney. Romney’s a MUCH better candidate than he was last time, because he’s not apologizing for signing the health-care bill. He’s got another creative way of saying we oughta repeal Obamacare, but that’s prob’ly the price of gettin’ the nomination.

“Huntsman hasn’t said what he’s for yet, but I just kinda like him. [laughter] He LOOKS authentic – he looks like a real guy. [laughter] I mean, a real human being. I like his family, I like his kind of iconoclastic way. And he was a pretty good governor. And he wasn’t a right-wing ideologue.

“Bachmann’s been a better candidate than I THOUGHT she’d be, and I don’t agree with her on nearly anything. But she’s got a very compelling personal story, and she gotta lot of juice, and she turns [on] a lot of those anti-government crowd.”

Clinton went on to comment that he thought President Obama would win reelection based off things like the President’s handling of the auto industry crisis, record on national security, and that “He took steps which avoided a depression.” Clinton:

“It’s not like he doesn’t have a story to tell. I also think he’s done a good job in trying to harmonize America’s differences, trying to widen the circle of opportunity. I think he’s got a good record on gay rights. I think he’s got a good record on trying to promote diversity in a positive way.”

Interesting comments. Is “a good record on gay rights”  pushing the removal of the “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” policy which you installed? Great story.

While Clinton’s support of the fellow Democrat and current President is to be expected, it will be interesting to see if his folksy comments on three Republican presidential candidates Saturday along with similar statements made in an ABC News interview last Thursday will have any effect on the GOP Presidential primary campaign.

With some commentators already questioning if Jon Huntsman is too moderate to be elected by today’s GOP, will Clinton’s kind words be hurled against the former Utah governor by his fellow 2012 hopefuls? Will conservatives who already have an issue with Mitt Romeny’s “health care thing” become further frustrated by Clinton’s approval?

How do you think Bill Clinton’s comments will be used, if at all, as the Republican primary race tightens in coming months?

Well… if Bill Clinton likes you… you are not what we want or need!! And as Rush says, it is the ones like Palin, who ‘they’ (the Beltway politicians, the globalists, the Obamaites) try to demonize and minimalize that you want, because ‘they’ are afraid of them or for sure don’t support their agenda.  True polls, not manipulated by Obama’s campaign wizard Axelrod or the MSM show Obama’s poll numbers are much lower than being reported and that Palin’s are much higher than they will ever let on.  And as many say, having been a governor with a good fighting record (that Alaska’s released emails of Palin’s governorship proved, is often the best experience you can have! Palin also has a strong libertarian streak which will play well with independents and Libertarians and is perhaps Why Sarah can/could Win!

Source:  the Blaze

Related:

(Besides the the obvious reason, after all Bill will always be Bill!) -  Bill O’Reilly: Why Bill Clinton Likes Michele Bachmann

President Palin Poll… Say That 3 Times

Sarah Palin Poll Results are In!

After one month of voting, the Results of the Townhall.com Sarah Palin Poll have been tabulated and released.

-------------------

Since 2008, speculation of the former Alaska Governor and vice president nominee, Sarah Palin, would mount her own run for presidency. Many are excited at the possibility of a Sarah Palin presidency, others think that she would play a more powerful role as an elder stateswoman for conservatism.

Thanks for sharing your opinion in this Townhall.com poll! With over 46,000 votes counted, the results are:

Voting will continue throughout the coming months; Townhall.com will continue to tabulate the results and inform all voters of the outcome.

Townhall.com is the leader in conservative commentary and analysis by pulling together political opinions from over 100 leading columnnists, research from many partner organizations, conservative talk-radio and a community of grassroots conservatives. Townhall.com is designed to amplify those conservative voices in America's political debates.  By uniting the nations' top conservative radio hosts with their millions of listeners, Townhall.com breaks down the barriers between news and opinion, journalism and political participation -- and enables conservatives to participate in the political process with unprecedented ease.

Townhall.com also publishes Townhall Magazine -- fresh, conservative, intelligent reporting in a monthly magazine that is 100% exclusive to the print publication.

 

Poll: Voters prefer “Generic Republican” to President Obama

POSTED AT 2:30 PM ON JUNE 9, 2011 BY TINA KORBE  - HotAir

By 45 percent to 42 percent, likely U.S. voters said they would prefer a generic Republican candidate to President Barack Obama in a 2012 presidential matchup, according to a poll released this week by Rasmussen Reports. That’s the second week in a row Obama has “lost” to a faceless candidate.

Men especially want a president from the Grand Old Party — they gave the generic candidate an eight-point boost over Obama. Middle-income voters also favored the Republican. Younger voters, not surprisingly, favored the incumbent, and the vast majority — 96 percent — of black voters also supported Obama.

Importantly, though, in every Rasmussen 2012 election poll of this year, Obama has had support of no more than about 42 percent to 49 percent. As the poll summary points out, “An incumbent who earns support below 50 percent is generally considered politically vulnerable.” That impression is especially underscored by this most recent poll.

Thank you, Mr. Rasmussen, for recognizing what so few pollsters seem to: Head-to-head match-ups between Obama and specific candidates for the Republican nomination cannot possibly reflect the extent to which the voting public just might want to see a change in the White House.

True, in those one-to-one comparisons, Obama consistently edges out all the GOP potentials except for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney — and that suggests voters still tend to think of Obama as more prepared for the presidency than any of the right’s primary contenders. In fact, the Rasmussen poll confirms that:

Interestingly, however, while 54 percent of voters view Obama as qualified to be president, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is the only Republican 2012 hopeful that a sizable number of voters considers qualified for the White House. Forty-nine percent (49%) say Romney is qualified to be president.

But that will change when Republicans have an actual nominee. Voters will automatically start to look at that candidate as from a slightly more presidential cast.

In the meantime, the two-week trend away from Obama and toward a generic GOP-er appropriately mitigates the impression created by polls that show Obama outstripping GOP candidates who haven’t yet had a chance to make a powerful impression on the national stage.

Romney more than doubles any challenger in early New Hampshire poll

Former Mass. governor gets 39% to Sarah Palin's 16% support  -  Romney-Palin ticket doesn’t sound bad either!

A new poll from the NH Journal has former Massachusets Gov. Mitt Romney dominating the field of possible 2012 Republican presidential candidates. Romney secured 39 percent support in the poll, with no other challenger even breaking the 20-percent mark.

Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin gains the second highest percentage at 16, followed by former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee with 10 percent. The rest of the potential candidates are even further behind, gaining only single-digit support: eight percent for Newt Gingrich, seven percent for Texas Rep. Ron Paul, four percent for former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, three percent for former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and one percent for Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour.

The poll sampled both Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in the state. Unlike other early presidential state Iowa, where only registered Republicans can take part in the caucus, the New Hampshire primary is open to both those registered with the party and independents. That system could play an outsized role in the 2012 primary since there will (presumably) not be a competitive primary on the Democratic ballot, freeing the majority of independents to take part on the Republican side.

Romney finished second to Sen. John McCain in the 2008 New Hampshire primary, and he served as governor for a bordering state, so his first-place finish in the poll is not too surprising. Still, the gigantic margin between the former Massachusetts governor and any other candidate indicates that he starts the campaign as the heavy favorite to win the Granite State.NHJ New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results

Romney flexes muscle in first NH Primary poll with Palin second and others lag behind

By AMELIA CHASSE  -  January 6, 2011

Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire in the early stages of the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination, according to a new survey commissioned by NH Journal and conducted by Magellan Strategies. The survey is the first statewide survey of Granite State Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in 2011.

Romney leads former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin by 23 points, with Romney earning 39% and Palin earning 16%. Mike Huckabee (10%), Newt Gingrich (8%), Texas Congressman Ron Paul (7%), former MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty (4%), Rick Santorum (3%) and MS Gov. Haley Barbour (1%) all trail significantly behind. Romney finished second to Sen. John McCain in the 2008 New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary.

None of the candidates in the survey have publicly announced their candidacy for president but all have said they are seriously considering a bid.

Despite her ballot position, Palin is very popular with Republican voters. 59% view her favorably while 31% have an unfavorable view of her. More Independents (50%) have a favorable view of her than and unfavorable view (41%). This data reflects Independent voters who say they are likely to vote in the Republican presidential primary.

Romney appears popular with all subgroups of the Republican electorate. Large percentages of seniors (76%), social conservatives (76%) and fiscal conservatives (76%) hold favorable views of him. Romney has struggled with social issues, such as abortion, in the past and many conservative pundits have speculated that his health care plan in Massachusetts could cause problems for him on the right. Nevertheless, Granite State Republicans are very comfortable with him as the presidential campaign season officially opens.

Huckbee and Pawlenty are also viewed substantially more favorably than not. Gingrich, Santorum and Barbour have relatively higher unfavorable ratings.

In a memo released about the survey, Magellan pollster David Flaherty stated, “This survey is a very early measurement of the potential 2012 Republican Presidential primary field. Mitt Romney’s strength is not surprising considering his close second place finish to John McCain in 2008 and his regional advantage of being a former border state Governor. Many political observers have commented on the “late” start of the 2012 Presidential primary campaign in comparison to the 2008 Presidential primary. We agree with this observation, and view the survey results as an “uninformed” snapshot of likely New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary voter opinion.”

The survey was conducted on Tuesday, January 4th from 6:00 to 8:00pm using automated telephone calls to a sample of 1,451 voters randomly drawn from a New Hampshire voter file among households containing at least one registered Republican or independent voter. Independent voters were screened for their intention to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary. The response data was weighted to reflect past Republican primary voting demographics from the 2008 Republican Presidential primary election. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 2.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Note: NH Journal editorial board member Patrick Hynes is a consultant to Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s PAC.

Romney flexes Muscle in First NH Primary Poll with Paling Second and Other Lag Behind

No Chance? Every Destiny: Sarah for President

In one of the most bizarre polls "conducted" by ABC and the Washington Post, the unsurprising numbers reveal according to their questions that 40% of Americans do not like Tea Party Americans, 71% think she is not qualified to be President, 55% see her unfavorably and according to the globalist stooges 52% of the Republicans see not qualified to be President.

Let me just take the first numbers apart here in ABC and the Post say that half of the Republicans do not see Sarah Palin not qualified to be President. In a poll, that means it would be one quarter of the numbers polled.

So subtracting that from the 71% figure, it leaves 46% of Democrats or doubled in their 50% which would mean 92% of Democrats answered Sarah Palin was unqualified.

Those are impossible poll numbers of almost 100% of Democrats are sounding with one voice. There is no polling data in the world which would poll that way. Christians have doubts about God existing and will not poll 92% and 92% of Muslims will not even poll that Muhammed was a prophet.

I once had a pro baby butcher polling service phone me and it was astounding in the inflection of disdain for life the female pollster had for babies. He voice tone was venomous and leading. The questions were worse in trying to jig the responses based to the data they were seeking.

The liberal ABC and Post, ABC was the network working for the globalists in the Plamegate Bush coup with Ted Koppel counting dead nightly to inflame the Iraq situation and it is well known the Post is the haven of Woodward who is nothing but a stooge for the globalists who fed America the coup against Richard Nixon, are frauds in the overwhelming data in the polls.

For those who know historical data, I can point to like numbers INSIDE THE GOP during the 1970's against one Ronald Wilson Reagan. I can point to a barrage of polls which constantly asked if Reagan was going to start a nuclear war which came back constantly that he would.

Amazing thing is, Ronald Reagan won the GOP nomination against all the polling numbers and Ronald Reagan ended the Cold War and never started one.

For those who do not have a grasp on 1980, the media was defining Reagan exactly as Sarah Palin is being smeared. Ronald Reagan though had gone to the people though in the same way Sarah Palin is, and the people knew her and were not listening to what the media was smearing Reagan with.

I will bet a gold dollar that the Post and ABC never phoned rural America, never phoned Alaska, never phoned Rush Limbaugh's audience or Sean Hannity's. I will bet their polling numbers included not one person who bought or owns Sarah Palin's book.

The very polling group which these hucksters against Palin chose, was a group of people who will not hang up the phone when bothered by pollsters which says something about them, and the group which was left was a group of nasty Sarah Palin haters, akin to if ABC and the Post called up an Alec Baldwin David Letterman pedophile joking cocktail party.

Of course the New York Daily News is running this smear on Sarah Palin with full commentary attacking her, because real polling data now shows that ANY REPUBLICAN RUNNING AGAINST OBAMA IN 2012 WILL DEFEAT HIM.

Gee Roadkill Reagan Jeb Bush was not in the data, Baby slayer Scott Brown was not in the data, Bobby I wanna be Obama Jindal was not in the data, but the one Conservative who these liberals are terrified of was the one which ABC and the Post spent a pile of money to hide behind a poll in stories written in 2008.

I frankly love Sarah Palin can get on a stage with 5 words on her hand for recall and remember 5000 words, when Barack Obama needs a teleprompter to remember for him 5000 words in a lecture.
I love how these liberals are tearing themselves up, I love that these Noel Sheppard frauds in the GOP are tearing themselves up, because that is what winning looks like.

Tea Dunkers are the silent majority and they show up to work elections and they show up to vote. Tea Dunkers who Scott Brown discounted are the reason and resource he has that Senate seat. Tea Dunkers are thee group in the same numbers who turned a British beat to death colony into these United States of America.

Patrician east coast Americans would still be British subjects like Barack Obama if they had their polling whining way in 1776. It was Americans not of the extreme left coast who fought and won for her freedom.

It is disgraceful for these Zogby type propagandists to keep running the Dan Rather scams of talking down a person, doing a poll, using bogus poll numbers from idiots and then running numerous articles trying to brainwash Americans away from their Reagan Destiny. It is out and out criminal, because as one election data expert told me, he was shocked that 10 million Republican voters disappeared.

Zogby was not, nor were Obama Democrats. That means they had knowledge that people's votes were not going to be counted.

Remember fully Zogby stating that he thought Curling Iron Coakley would pull out a Massachusetts victory. That is foreknowledge of a staged election fraud which did not by God's Grace come to pass a second time, because Democrats could not make enough votes appear or disappear as fraud Al Franken and Tim Johnson did.

Sarah Palin is doing an exceptional job in going through a booby trapped, minefield, and working it to her advantage just as Ronald Reagan did.

For ABC and the Post who are Rockefeller oriented in taking these steps so fraudulently this early, means Gov. Palin is the counter Revolution they fear.

As an exclusive here, I will point out that the Rockefeller globalists who had to eat crow over their masters in Europe putting into place Barack Hussein Obama due to the Clintons upsetting the old order in stealing uranium from the stans, that this group is now after black Governor Paterson of New York to smear him so a Cuomo insider will replace the Obama candidate.

This group is already spreading "replace Biden with Hillary" stories and in time will replace Obama with Hillary if they have their way. There is a vast coup, comeback and payback going on in the globalist order in America. They are eating their own and the one person who terrifies them most is Sarah Palin.

That is what is revealed in the bogus polling numbers as even after 9 11, Bush 43 never had 92% numbers to start wars, and that was from the very dolts who just had the Twin Towers filling their lungs with asbestos.

92% is an impossible number unless one is taking a poll in Saddam Hussein's, Kim Jong Il or Vladamir Putin's re election numbers from their own government run polling thugs.

As a sample with a snarling pollster voice, "Do you think Sarah Palin is qualified to be President being from Alaska, quitting her job, ruining John McCain's election run as Baldy Schmidt has said, Oprah doesn't like her, and she had that daughter having the baby and she didn't abort that mentally retarded child.........DO YOU REALLY THINK SHE IS QUALIFIED TO BE PRESIDENT???? COME ON TELL ME!!!!!!!!!"

92%, not any uncertain voters, just absolutes for a 71% contrived absolute.

Things are looking up because even more in liberal polls hated George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, and hey...........Americans now miss Bush, know Obama is a mistake and agree Dick Cheney is right on American security in real polls, not conducted by Zogby, ABC or the Post.

nuff said on the charade.

Way to go Sarah in writing those words on your hand to give the mob something to tear into. Probably shouldn't have revealed that as it means Gov. Palin planned all of this and is pulling the strings of the manipulators and they haven't got the Alaska Lady figured out yet.

Jon Stewart are you ready for your fool close up now?

I will take Sarah Palin's numbers and by God's Grace win a Presidential election with them that is fair and honest and not Franken and Obama fraud.

agtG 264

Source: Lame Cherry

Related:

Poll- Nameless Republican Could Beat Obama

Palin Leaves Door Open for 2012

Our Own Mini Obama Poll

President Obama has given his first year as President a "B+." How would you grade the first year of Obama's presidency?

• F (61%, 175 Votes)

• D- (11%, 32 Votes)

• D (5%, 15 Votes)

• B+ (5%, 15 Votes)

• C- (5%, 15 Votes)

• D+ (5%, 14 Votes)

• C+ (2%, 7 Votes)

• A- (2%, 5 Votes)

• B (1%, 3 Votes)

• A+ (1%, 3 Votes)

• A (1%, 2 Votes)

• C (0%, 1 Votes)

• B- (1%, 1 Votes)

Total Voters: 288

Seems the president was a bit off…

Related:

Obama's Base Begins to Crumble

Obama’s Base Begins to Crumble… Poll Numbers Keep Dropping and Middle America is Ready for Real, Honest and Constitutional Change

Pour some more butter on the popcorn . . .

Yesterday, Obama press secretary Robert Gibbs took shots at Howard Dean and his opposition to ObamaCare, suggesting the good doctor didn't know what he was talking about.

It was payback time this morning, as Dean announced that he would"not vigorously" back Pres. Obama's re-election bid.

The former DNC Chairman expressed his tepid support for Obama, Part Deux on today's Morning Joe in response to new poll data indicating Pres. Obama's popularity, and public support for ObamaCare, have fallen to all-time lows.

Joe Scarborough suggested that Dean would be accused of dragging down his party and helping Republicans.

HOWARD DEAN: Look, here's the thing: every politician says this and I hesitate to do it because they all say it, but sometimes the country's more important than either party.

JOE SCARBOROUGH: Amen.

DEAN: I'm going to support President Obama when he runs for re-election. Not vigorously. I'm going to vote for him.

Scarborough can be heard bursting into laughter off-camera.

DEAN: I am, I am.

SCARBOROUGH: "Not vigorously." Boy, I can almost feel the confetti [presumably from GOP victory celebrations] falling on my head here!

My two cents: the MSM has largely been portraying Dean as a principled progressive opponent of ObamaCare. I say that good old personal spite might also be motivating Doc Dean. Remember that it was the very same Robert Gibbs who, during the 2003 Dem presidential primary campaign, was behind a TV ad showing OBL and suggesting Dean was incapable of protecting American's national security. PBO has also hurt Dean's feelings, snubbing him for the HHS Secretary post which many Dems felt was his due.

—Mark Finkelstein is a NewsBusters contributing editor and host of Right Angle. Contact him at mark@gunhill.net.

Add to this… Obama’s poll numbers are at an all time low with Conservatives and Moderates and now he is losing his base… Howard Dean, SEIU, the Black Caucus…

Keep praying, protesting and pressuring Congress. The candidates that will win in 2010 and 2012 will be those few who voted the “right” way in 2009 and the rest will be fresh blood who campaign on over-turning all of Obama, Pelosi and Reid’s unconstitutional and un-American legislation… and the unhappy left supporters will help in Obama’s defeat.

At Least We Can Agree On Something!

Obama's 47 Percent Approval Lowest of Any President at This Point

President Obama's job approval rating has fallen to 47 percent in the latest Gallup poll, the lowest ever recorded for any president at this point in his term.

Jimmy Carter, Gerald Ford and even Richard Nixon all had higher approval ratings 10-and-a-half months into their presidencies. Obama's immediate predecessor, President George W. Bush, had an approval rating of 86 percent, or 39 points higher than Obama at this stage. Bush's support came shortly after he launched the war in Afghanistan in response to the terror attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said he doesn't "put a lot of stock" in the survey by Gallup, which has conducted presidential approval polls since 1938, longer than any other organization.

"If I was a heart patient and Gallup was my EKG, I'd visit my doctor," Gibbs said in response to questions from Fox. "I'm sure a six-year-old with a Crayon could do something not unlike that. I don't put a lot of stake in, never have, in the EKG that is daily Gallup trend. I don't pay a lot of attention to the meaninglessness of it."

Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport responded: "Gibbs said that if Gallup were his EKG, he would visit his doctor. Well, I think the doctor might ask him what's going on in his life that would cause his EKG to be fluctuating so much. There is, in fact, a lot going on at the moment -- the health care bill, the jobs summit, the Copenhagen climate conference and Afghanistan."

The new low comes as Obama struggles to overhaul the nation's health care system and escalates America's involvement in the Afghanistan war. He is also presiding over a deep and prolonged recession, with unemployment at 10 percent.

"There's no doubt Obama's 47 percent is mainly a result of the continuing bad economy," said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. "But there is also a growing concern about government spending and debt, and a sense that Obama is trying to do too much, too soon."

He added: "President Obama has reason to be concerned about his ratings. Even in tough times, presidents have usually been able to stay above the critical 50 percent mark in the first year, when the public is most inclined to give the new incumbent the benefit of the doubt."

Obama officials have not always shown disdain for Gallup. During last year's presidential campaign, Obama adviser David Plouffe, trumpeted "the latest Gallup poll" to reporters because it showed that 53 percent of Americans did not find Obama Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton, "trustworthy."

When Gallup began taking presidential approval polls 71 years ago, Franklin Roosevelt had been president for more than five years. During his remaining time in office, his job approval rating never fell below 48 percent.

The next 11 presidents, both Democrats and Republicans, all had higher job approval ratings than Obama at this stage of their tenure. Their ratings were:

-- George W. Bush, 86 percent
-- Bill Clinton, 52 percent
-- George H.W. Bush, 71 percent
-- Ronald Reagan, 49 percent
-- Jimmy Carter, 57 percent
-- Gerald Ford, 52 percent
-- Richard Nixon, 59 percent
-- Lyndon Johnson, 74 percent
-- John Kennedy, 77 percent
-- Dwight Eisenhower, 69 percent
-- Harry Truman, 49 percent

The poll is an average of a three-day tracking of 1,529 adults taken Dec. 4-6. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

By Bill Sammon - - FOXNews.com

Latest polls show Obama’s approval at below 50% (varying between 46 and 50% this week); number of people who identify themselves as Conservatives as between 43% and 51%, depending on poll and wording of question, and the number of people who identify themselves as Liberals only 19%.

REVEREND JACKSON SLAMS OBAMA

BEGIN TRANSCRIPT (From Rush Limbaugh)

RUSH: The Reverend Jackson is not happy about this. Last night on PBS on the Tavis Smiley show, Tavis Smiley talked to the Monochrome Coalition chairman and whatever else he is, the Reverend Jackson, and the question: "Some think the blame Bush rhetoric no longer applies that Obama used successfully in the campaign."
JACKSON: He essentially owns more and more. When Bush left office there were 30,000 troops in Afghanistan. We're now going to a hundred thousand, so we kind of own the Afghanistan mission. We bailed out the banks. We kind of own a plan now where you have more foreclosures than you do have modifications. We're losing jobs by the droves. Unemployment levels are disastrously high. We are the canary in the mine. We're on the front side of its pain and the backside of its prosperity. Urban America is black, but Appalachia basically is white. We must not be seen as marginal America.

RUSH: I'll tell you what's going on here with this. The Reverend Jackson -- and I got two more stories in the stack today about how black unemployment is through the roof, black unemployment is terrible, the black frame of mind is terrible, they're depressed, Obama is not doing anything for them. How is that Hoax and Change working for you? They're all livid. I mean they thought there was going to be an exact 180 degree economic reversal and it's done nothing but get bad for everybody, but they're especially upset about it because they look at him as one of them and now they feel abandoned. I'm sure Tiger Woods' choice of females is not helping 'em out with their attitudes there, either. Folks, about that, I got a great piece to share with you from Lisa Schiffren at the AmericanThinker.com on the parallels between Tiger Woods and Barack Obama. The theme is that both are the result of lies, falsely crafted images that are in no way representative of who they really are. I'll get to that in a mere moment.

One more sound bite here from Reverend Jackson. Oh, and there's total disarray over in Copenhagen, something called the Danish texts. Poor nations have found out they're going to get screwed with the climate talks over there. Oh, yeah, it's big. And then Dingy Harry is out there with his slavery comment. I don't know, folks. I have faith in all things good, and this stuff just cannot triumph, at the end of the day it just won't. This is utter disaster. Anyway, back to the Reverend Jackson, Tavis Smiley said, "How do black leaders, how do black folk, how do black people make that case to the president? In other words, how do you push back on him respectfully when you know that black folk in the 90th percentile love this president?"

JACKSON: They also love to keep their houses and they also love their jobs. So the issue is about policy. It's not about our appreciation of the impact of this presidency. We found through the attorney generals that these major banks profiled blacks and Latinos. They circumvented community reinvestment laws. As opposed to getting a bailout, they should be facing the courts for breaking the law. On the black and brown side is where the water came in the boat. But the water didn't stop. It kept on coming, the water kept coming across. A rising tide will not lift those boats stuck at the bottom that have holes in them.

RUSH: So there's trouble in paradise out there. The Reverend Jackson, his anger is pretty muted here but he's pretty mad. (interruption) What is it, Snerdley? What is it? Hm-hm. Hm-hm. Well, no, he said it's about skin color thing, but, look, the bottom line is, all of this was supposed to have vanished. We were supposed to have a postracial country. Look at the divisions that have sprung up. Look at the partisanship, the divide has gotten wider. The Reverend Jackson is not happy at all, and all of it was so predictable. Look, I'm a little long. I gotta take a quick break and we'll come back, we have more samples of Obama's Hoax and Change speech at Brookings today plus a damn good Stack of Stuff to get through, so sit tight. We'll be right back.

END TRANSCRIPT

Read the Background Material...

• UK Guardian: Copenhagen Climate Summit in Disarray After 'Danish Text' Leak

Thanks, Rush!!

Black Caucus War Against Obama

A civil war is breaking out within the left of the Democratic Party pitting the Congressional Black Caucus against the first African-American president.

The battle began when California Congresswoman Maxine Waters complained publicly about the Administration’s failure to do more to help minority-owned businesses in the current recession. (Translation: In the new Stimulus of “Jobs” Bill making its way through Congress, they want a larger take). It continued yesterday when ten members of the Black Caucus refused to participate in a meeting of the House Banking Committee which was considering the bill to restructure financial regulations forcing Chairman Barney Frank to push the bill through by the uncomfortable margin of only 31-27.

The latest shot in the battle was fired by Homeland Security Chairman Bennie Thompson (D-Miss) a card carrying regular of the Black Caucus. Faced with the need to investigate the gate crashing at the White House during the recent state dinner for India, he chose to embarrass the Administration by subpoenaing White House Social Secretary Desiree Rogers rather than quietly negotiating for her appearance.

That Thompson’s action was a deliberate slap in Obama’s face is obvious (even though the media has missed it). Since when does a liberal Democratic committee chairman embarrass a liberal Democratic president by forcing a liberal Democratic Social Secretary (from Chicago no less) to resist a subpoena to appear at a hearing? Since he wanted to send a message to Obama and Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel that the Black Caucus did not like being taken for granted.

The merits of the controversy are obvious. What possible reason would a Social Secretary, for goodness sakes, have for the assertion of executive privilege that is usually reserved for issues of national security? Obviously, none. But Thompson chose his target well. He struck at the social core of the Chicago Mafia that runs the White House, probably striking within the Obama family as well.

You don’t do that to a president of your own party, your own ideology, and even your own race unless you want to make a point.

The friction between the Black Caucus and Obama escalated when Waters berated the Administration for failing to rework a business loan from Goldman Sachs to the Inner City Broadcasting Corporation. Inner City is run by Pierre Sutton, son of Percy Sutton, the long time media giant in the African-American community. Two weeks after she raised the issue in a meeting with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Emanuel, Goldman saw the light and restructured the loan.

Coming on top of liberal angst with the decision by the “peace” president to escalate the war in Afghanistan, this split with the black caucus comes at an awkward time.

But you pay a price when you mess with the African American Caucus and the Suttons. The Obama Administration is feeling it. It’s kind of fun to watch.

Source: Front Page

And Take Heart… Palin now as popular as Obama

Barack Obama has sunk to a new low in Gallup's job approval numbers. The polling firm reported Monday that Obama's approval rating had dropped to 47% in their rolling three day average.

Perhaps equally important, Gallup says 46% of the people they asked disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president.
Those numbers are almost identical to favorable/unfavorable numbers for Sarah Palin in a new CNN poll , which showed the former Alaska governor at 46% favorable and 46% unfavorable.

Given the Obamedia's unparalleled trashing of Palin and their sycophantic support of the One, these new numbers--even if temporary--bespeak two important points: the waning influence of the legacy media, and the appeal that Palin has to a substantial portion of the public.

By: William Tate – American Thinker
Page Printed from: (Shout Out to Babs from As.A.Mom) http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2009/12/palin_now_as_popular_as... at December 08, 2009 - 04:48:50 PM EST

And the good thing is that Palin’s numbers are going up while Obama’s numbers are going down…