While we don’t know the impact of the last debate, the polling indicates that McCain has been able to close the gap with Obama markedly in the past week. Realclearpolitics.com lists six polls with a field date ending on 10-13. Their average gave Obama a margin of 8.3 percent. There are seven subsequent surveys with a field date ending on 10-16 and their average is an Obama lead of 5.1. The seven polls whose field date ended on the 16th only include one night of post debate polling (usually of a three night sample). As the next few days of polling comes in, the situation should clarify itself. But we can say that Obama has lost more than a third of his lead in the last week. If the financial markets stop hogging the headlines and McCain exploits the tax and spending issue he developed (with the considerable aid of Joe the Plumber) it is very possible that he could close the race further, perhaps bringing it to a tie in the next ten days. |
Recent events not represented in polls: Sarah Palin’s appearance on Saturday Nite Live; great reviews of McCain’s appearances on Letterman and roast last Friday; continuing facts trickling out about Obama’s associations with Terrorist Ayers, Hate Monger Reverend Wright, and Communist Frank Marshall Daves; plus the endless contributions to Obama’s campaign from the Middle East and Middle Eastern Muslim sources and is questionably being washed through the campaign as small donations; and then there’s today’s endorsement by Colin Powell, which really didn’t come as a surprise, (however 4 other Secretary of States all endorse John McCain) so we must question if there are not other factors a play... Even the affect of the final presidential debate only affected one of the polls mentioned above.
Where Did The Money Come From??? (Please Take The Time To Read This)
Two Huge Election 2008 Considerations
Remember… Barack Obama and John McCain signed paperwork and agreed to use public funding for their campaigns. Then Barack Obama changed his mind, without notifying anyone. John McCain kept his word, and is therefore restricted. John McCain was certainly capable of raising huge amounts of funds, but felt he made the better and honorable choice.
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