Monday, October 11, 2010

Battle for America With Dick Morris

A call to action by Dick Morris to take back our country, "The Battle for America" is a searing look at the ongoing conflict between "Constitution...

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Republican Trends Grow

The mainstream media is peddling the line that the Democrats are staging a comeback, slicing Republican leads.  It is absolute nonsense.  A close review of polling in every close House race in the nation indicates that Republicans now lead in 53 seats currently held by Democrats and are within five points in 20 more.

And the trend is Republican, not Democrat.  Of the races where comparative data over the past few weeks is available, Republicans have gained in 33 while Democrats have gained in only 10.
On the Senate level, Republicans now lead in all ten states that are necessary for GOP control of the Senate, the smallest margin coming in Nevada where the Rasmussen Poll has the Republican, Sharron Angle, four points ahead.  In West Virginia, Wisconsin, Washington State, and Illinois, the Republican has surged ahead dramatically in recent days and only in Colorado and California has there been slippage.  The ten states which are now represented by Democrats where Republicans have the lead are:

North Dakota =  +45
Indiana =  +18
Arkansas =  +18
Wisconsin =  +12
Pennsylvania =  + 7
West Virginia =  + 6
Colorado =  + 5
Washington State =  + 5
Illinois =  + 4
Nevada =  + 4

Republican gains should be even greater than this polling indicates.  The trend lines are decidedly in the GOP's favor and Gallup Poll indicates that Republicans are twice as likely to be enthusiastic about voting as Democrats are. 

The only note of caution for Republicans is that their leads in Democratic House seats are not substantial.  In only 14 seats does the Republican candidate lead by more than ten points and most of those are open Democratic seats.  But the Republican turnout machine - animated by Tea Party activists -- will likely outperform its Democratic rivals.

And the Democratic Party has no message.  Its campaigns are a hodgepodge of personal negatives and fabricated issues.   No Democratic candidate is even trying to defend Obama's health care legislation or argue that his stimulus program is working.  Cap and trade is never mentioned by Democrats on the campaign trail.  We have the spectacle of the most substantive legislative program in generations having been passed by Congress and now finding that it has no defenders in the election campaign, only Democrats scurrying to prove their independence.

All signs point to a growing Republican landslide.

The gigantic Republican gains of the past week indicate that party trend is now beginning to kick in big time.  The Republican leads until this past week are largely due to the voting decisions of people who closely follow the process.  The surge in Republican support in the past seven to ten days indicates that the less educated voters who do not follow politics as closely are breaking for the Republicans.  Normally, these downscale voters are Democrats, but the economy and the alienating values of the Obama Administration (e.g. Ground Zero Mosque) seem to be driving them to the GOP.
Also boosting Republican prospects is the absence of social issues in the national debate.  These elections are turning on unemployment, deficits, the economy, health care, and the national debt, not on gay rights or abortion.  So, social liberals and libertarians see no reason not to vote Republican.  Only in California are these traditional issues working in driving voters to the Democrats.

A landslide without precedent appears to be in the making.

AS THE ELECTION APPROACHES, WE ARE TRYING TO EXPAND THE E-MAIL REACH OF THESE COLUMNS.  PLEASE FORWARD THIS EMAIL TO YOUR FRIENDS AND FAMILY AND URGE THEM TO SIGN UP BY SUBSCRIBING HERE. THANKS!
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The Caucus - The Politics and Government blog of The New York Times

October 11, 2010, 8:38 AM

Soros: I Can’t Stop a Republican ‘Avalanche’

By SEWELL CHAN

George Soros, the billionaire financier who was an energetic Democratic donor in the last several election cycles but is sitting  this one out, is not feeling optimistic about Democratic prospects.

“I made an exception getting involved in 2004,” Mr. Soros, 80, said in a brief interview Friday at a forum sponsored by the Bretton Woods Committee, which promotes understanding of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

“And since I didn’t succeed in 2004, I remained engaged in 2006 and 2008. But I’m basically not a party man. I’d just been forced into that situation by what I considered the excesses of the Bush administration.”

Mr. Soros, a champion of liberal causes, has been directing his money to groups that work on health care and the environment, rather than electoral politics. Asked if the prospect of Republican control of one or both houses of Congress concerned him, he said: “It does, because I think they are pushing the wrong policies, but I’m not in a position to stop it. I don’t believe in standing in the way of an avalanche.”

95% of Iraqis voted, many under threat of great personal danger.  In the USA we average 38%.  Iraq is smart enough to mark everyone's finger with semi-permanent ink…  We allow Mickey Mouse, illegals and dead people to vote.  What will it take for us to wake up?

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